This is an interview between Rosa Gosch, editor SGI News and political scientist Thomas Kalinowski. This post is part of the Wikiprogress series on Governance.
Political scientist Thomas Kalinowski talks
about South Korea’s first female president, quality of democracy and social
justice as well as the role of the country’s national intelligence service.
SGI News: Mr. Kalinowski, in the South Korea Report of the SGI Asia study you describe former president Lee Myung-bak as the country’s corporate chief executive officer (CEO). How would you characterize the country’s new president, Park Geun-hye,
who has been in office since February 2013?
Thomas Kalinowski: The election of President Park
represents a political swing to the right, but her specific political goals
have remained fairly unclear so far. Although both are members of the
conservative party, the new president’s background is completely different from
that of her predecessor. She is the daughter of former military dictator Park
Chung-hee, who ruled South Korea from 1961 to 1979. She became Acting First
Lady after her mother was murdered by North Korea. After her father was assassinated
in 1979 by his own head of intelligence, she disappeared from politics and only
re-emerged as a member of parliament in the 1990s. Park’s critics have accused
her of having an authoritarian leadership style like her predecessor. Her
supporters, however, are hoping she will bring Korea the same kind of strong economic
growth as her father did.
In your opinion, what are the biggest political
challenges facing the new president?
Thomas Kalinowski: The biggest challenge so far has
been the government transition itself. Park needed a very long time to install
her new government. Many of the people she picked to become ministers, vice
ministers and state secretaries were not approved by parliament or had to
withdraw because their candidacy came under critical scrutiny. Several posts in
important government institutions remain vacant to this day. Park rarely
listened to advice and tried to push through her nominees despite strong
opposition, which ultimately led to many of them being rejected.
SGI’s 2011 ranking of democracy quality put South Korea in 29th place out of 31. How would you assess this score?
Thomas Kalinowski: South Korea is a democracy that can
definitely measure up against democracies in Europe and other OECD countries.
You need to remember that South Korea has only had free elections since 1987
and that it got its first president without a military background in 1993. I
would not say that South Korea has a poor quality of democracy. In the
rankings, the country is about where one would expect a young democracy that
has undergone extremely rapid social change and economic development to be.
What areas need improvement?
Thomas Kalinowski: One big problem is that South Korea
has weak political parties. Politics is dominated by a few strong individuals
and their networks. There is very little continuity in the party landscape. For
example, the current president simply renamed her party from Hannara to Saenuri
in order to distance herself from her unpopular predecessor. In addition, party
loyalty is divided along geographic lines. The conservative party is strong in
the eastern half of the country, and the opposition, the democrats, is strong
in the western half. There are bigger differences in terms of their regional
distribution than in policy content.
Is that seen as a problem?
Thomas Kalinowski: Yes, definitely. It is one of the
most heated debates right now. A few years ago, a new player emerged on the
political stage – software developer and businessman Ahn Cheol-soo. He is
already being treated as a candidate for the presidential elections four years
from now. Ahn is working to build a movement of his own that represents a
political alternative to the “traditional” parties. So far his political
movement has focused very strongly on him and his ideas; it remains to be seen
whether he will be able to resist the lure of authoritarianism.
Park
Geun-hye has been a strong advocate of what
she calls “economic democracy.” What does she mean by that?
Thomas Kalinowski: This concept is often misunderstood
outside South Korea. It does not refer to employee participation or anything
like that. The Korean economy is highly polarised. On one side are large
corporations like Samsung and Hyundai, which are active in a wide range of
areas. They dominate the country’s economy. The other side includes companies
that supply those large corporations as well as smaller businesses and the
service sector. Critics say the large corporations exploit these companies,
turn them against one another and acquire them at will. The government
understands economic democracy primarily to mean large corporations being fair
with their smaller partners.
Has the new president done anything to
encourage this kind of fairness?
Thomas Kalinowski: It is still too early to say for
sure, since Park has only been office for a short time and the transitional
phase lasted so long. She has done things like invite the heads of these large
corporations to her office and urged them to treat their supplier companies
better, to invest more and to create more jobs. The corporations then responded
with a few symbolic acts, in which they changed some unstable work conditions
to stable work conditions. The government also launched investigations into the
business practices of some of the major companies and some high profile
business people are currently serving prison sentences.
That sounds more like grasping at straws than a
real strategy.
Thomas Kalinowski: Yes. And most importantly, there
have been very few institutional changes. South Korea is still ruled through a
network of connections between political leaders and the large corporations.
Social justice is another big topic in many
Asian countries. Is that the case in South Korea too?
Thomas Kalinowski: Absolutely. There is a lot of
discussion of the lack of social justice. South Korea’s economy developed very
quickly and this process was not accompanied by the same degree of social
inequality as in, say, Latin America. South Korea has always had a few very
wealthy business leaders and their families, but the income gap was fairly
narrow in the rest of society. This has changed dramatically since the mass
layoffs that came with the Asian financial crisis of 1997–98. Many of the
people who were laid off then were re-hired later on, but this time with
temporary, fixed-term and other unstable contracts that limited their
employment to one year and offered less of a safety net. In addition, these
workers are far less unionised than regular employees because only regular
employees can join enterprise unions in South Korea. And unlike here in
Germany, industrial unions in South Korea are very weak. Youth unemployment and
old age poverty are also serious problems. All of this has made society much
more polarised. Granted, there have been efforts to counteract this trend by
developing the country’s social welfare system, but these steps have not gone
far enough. Further expanding the social welfare system is one of the biggest challenges
facing Korea in the coming years and decades – especially given the demographic
changes it is undergoing.
Capital flight and currency decay are shaking
many countries in Asia right now, like Indonesia, India and Malaysia. Is this
having an impact on South Korea?
Thomas Kalinowski: South Korea has not been hit as hard
as those countries. It has a strong export economy, a large trade surplus and
vast currency reserves. Korea has seen some impact in the form of an outflow of
portfolio investment, where mainly foreign investors sold their shareholdings.
The currency has lost some of its value but not a lot – besides, that is good
for its export economy. The stock market is suffering but I don’t expect this
to trigger a crisis due to capital flight as in 1997–98. Unlike then, South
Korea now has very little short-term foreign debt and it can easily settle that
debt using its currency reserves. Of course the caveat here is that we do not
know exactly how fast the country can mobilize those reserves.
How do you think democracy will develop in
South Korea under President Park?
Thomas Kalinowski: That’s hard to say. A big debate is currently going on
about the role of the national intelligence service. Among other things, it has
come under fire for having allegedly tried to influence the presidential
elections in December 2012. The National Security Act of 1948 is also still in
force. It allows the government to arrest people who make positive statements
about North Korea or travel to North Korea without permission. These examples
show how the legacy of the military dictatorship and the way the south is dealing
with the threat from the north continue to impede democracy from further
evolving and deepening in South Korea. Ultimately, the future of Korean
democracy will depend on the degree to which the country manages to strengthen
democratic participation and freedom of speech. There are some reasons to be
optimistic. Compared to China and even Japan, civil society organizations, for
instance, are much better developed in Korea due to the strong tradition of its
democracy movement that successfully overthrew the military dictatorship in
1987.
Thomas
Kalinowski is Associate Professor of Political Science at the Graduate School
of International Studies, Ewha Womans University in Seoul, Korea. He
co-authored the South Korea Report
of the SGI Asia study.
Rosa
Gosch conducted the interview.
English
translation by Douglas Fox
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